Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

Abstract

Importance: Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists, and dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitors improve hyperglycemia, and SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists reduce the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) among individuals with type 2 diabetes. It is not clear whether efficacy varies by age or sex.

Objective: To assess whether age or sex are associated with differences in the efficacy of SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, and DPP4 inhibitors.

Data Sources and Study Selection: The MEDLINE and Embase databases and US and Chinese clinical trial registries were searched for articles published from inception to November 2022; in August 2024, the search was updated to capture the trial results. Two reviewers screened for randomized clinical trials of SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, or DPP4 inhibitors vs a placebo or active comparator in adults with type 2 diabetes.

Data Extraction and Synthesis: Individual participant data and aggregate data were used to estimate age × treatment interactions and sex × treatment interactions in multilevel network meta-regression models.

Main Outcome and Measures: Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and MACEs.

Results: Of the 601 eligible trials identified (592 trials with 309 503 participants reported HbA1c; mean age, 58.9 [SD, 10.8] years; 42.3% were female and 23 trials with 168 489 participants reported MACEs; mean age, 64.0 [SD, 8.6] years; 35.3% were female), individual participant data were obtained for 103 trials (103 reported HbA1c and 6 reported MACEs). The use of SGLT2 inhibitors (vs placebo) was associated with less HbA1c lowering with increasing age for monotherapy (absolute reduction [AR], 0.24% [95% credible interval {CrI}, 0.10% to 0.38%] per 30-year increment in age), for dual therapy (AR, 0.17% [95% CrI, 0.10% to 0.24%]), and for triple therapy (AR, 0.25% [95% CrI, 0.20% to 0.30%]). The use of GLP-1 receptor agonists was associated with greater HbA1c lowering with increasing age for monotherapy (AR, −0.18% [95% CrI, −0.31% to −0.05%] per 30-year increment in age) and for dual therapy (AR, −0.24% [95% CrI, −0.40% to −0.07%]), but not for triple therapy (AR, 0.04% [95% CrI, −0.02% to 0.11%]). The use of DPP4 inhibitors was associated with slightly better HbA1c lowering in older people for dual therapy (AR, −0.09% [95% CrI, −0.15% to −0.03%] per 30-year increment in age), but not for monotherapy (AR, −0.08% [95% CrI, −0.18% to 0.01%]) or triple therapy (AR, −0.01% [95% CrI, −0.06% to 0.05%]). The relative reduction in MACEs with use of SGLT2 inhibitors was greater in older vs younger participants per 30-year increment in age (hazard ratio, 0.76 [95% CrI, 0.62 to 0.93]), and the relative reduction in MACEs with use of GLP-1 receptor agonists was less in older vs younger participants (hazard ratio, 1.47 [95% CrI, 1.07 to 2.02]). There was no consistent evidence for sex × treatment interactions with use of SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists.

Conclusions and Relevance: The SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists were associated with lower risk of MACEs. Analysis of age × treatment interactions suggested that SGLT2 inhibitors were more cardioprotective in older than in younger people despite smaller reductions in HbA1c; GLP-1 receptor agonists were more cardioprotective in younger people.

People
Hanlon, Peter
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Butterly, Elaine
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Wei, Lili
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Wightman, Heather
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Almazam, Saleh Ali M.
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Alsallumi, Khalid
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Crowther, Jamie
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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McChrystal, Ryan
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Rennison, Heidi
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Hughes, Katherine
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Lewsey, Jim
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Lindsay, Robert
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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McGurnaghan, Stuart
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Petrie, John
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Tomlinson, Laurie A.
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Wild, Sarah
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Adler, Amanda
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Sattar, Naveed
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

Morrow, Andrew J. and Sykes, Robert and Saleh, Merna and Zahra, Baryab and MacIntosh, Alasdair and Kamdar, Anna and Bagot, Catherine and Bayes, Hannah K. and Blyth, Kevin G. and Bulluck, Heerajnarain and Carrick, David and Church, Colin and Corcoran, David and Findlay, Iain and Gibson, Vivienne and Gillespie, Lynsey and Grieve, Douglas and Hall Barrientos, Pauline and Ho, Antonia and Lang, Ninian N. and Lowe, David J. and Lennie, Vera and Macfarlane, Peter W. and Mayne, Kaitlin J. and Mark, Patrick B. and McConnachie, Alex and McGeoch, Ross and Nordin, Sabrina and Payne, Alexander and Rankin, Alastair J. and Robertson, Keith and Ryan, Nicola and Roditi, Giles and Sattar, Naveed and Stobo, David and Allwood-Spiers, Sarah and Touyz, Rhian M. and Veldtman, Gruschen and Weeden, Sarah and Weir, Robin and Watkins, Stuart and Welsh, Paul and Mangion, Kenneth and Berry, Colin (2024) Socioeconomic deprivation and illness trajectory in the Scottish population after COVID-19 hospitalization. Communications Medicine, 4: 32. ISSN 2730-664X

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Phillippo, David M.
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Dias, Sofia
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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Welton, Nicky J.
Author

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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McAllister, David A.
Author

Elyan, Benjamin M.P. and Tan, Beatrix and Lambourg, Emilie and McAllister, David A. and Jones, Rob J. and Lang, Ninian N. and Mark, Patrick B. and Lees, Jennifer S. and Bell, Samira (2025) Incidence of cancer in people with CKD not requiring kidney replacement therapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clinical Kidney Journal, 18 (5): sfaf084. ISSN 2048-8505

Hanlon, Peter and Butterly, Elaine and Wei, Lili and Wightman, Heather and Almazam, Saleh Ali M. and Alsallumi, Khalid and Crowther, Jamie and McChrystal, Ryan and Rennison, Heidi and Hughes, Katherine and Lewsey, Jim and Lindsay, Robert and McGurnaghan, Stuart and Petrie, John and Tomlinson, Laurie A. and Wild, Sarah and Adler, Amanda and Sattar, Naveed and Phillippo, David M. and Dias, Sofia and Welton, Nicky J. and McAllister, David A. (2025) Age and sex differences in efficacy of treatments for type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 333 (12). pp. 1062-1073. ISSN 0098-7484

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